A new report by the United States Department of Justice confirms what feminists have long maintained: the overwhelming majority of rapes are not reported to law enforcement. But the report also sharply disagrees with the controversial claim that 20% of college women are sexually assaulted.
The DOJ is focused on sexual assault as defined by law, while the 1 out of 5 statistic includes actions such as non-consensual kissing, which is not a crime and is not considered sexual assault by most people. Further, the 1/5 stat involved a small and non-representative sample, and thus cannot withstand strict scientific scrutiny.
That 80% of students who were raped or sexually assaulted did not report the crime to law enforcement (compared to 67% of non-students) is chilling. Frankly, I think universities, insofar as they actively discourage women from reporting to the police in favor of a university tribunal, must share much of the blame. But the reality that two-thirds of non-college women don’t call the cops shows that much of the problem lies with law enforcement.
The DOJ found that annually, 6.1 per 1,000 college women experience rape or sexual assault (for non-student women it is 7.6 per 1,000).
Assuming four years of college, this means that 2.44% of college women are raped or sexually assaulted – a tenth of the scientifically invalid and propagandist 1 out of 5 statistic.
Because four-fifths of rapes and sexual assaults involve a female victim, male victims are about a half of a percentage point. Though this may seem to contradict the CDC’s “made to penetrate” statistic, keep in mind that the CDC’s survey is about intimate partner violence – boyfriends, girlfriends, and spouses. But the DOJ casts a wider net. They found that 80% of victims knew their assailants, but often these were acquaintances.
This does show, however, that women’s fear of the random guy walking down the street is misplaced: it’s the casual acquaintance with poor boundaries who is most likely to do something. Especially if he’s been drinking or drugging.
But let’s not forget: crime in the United States has decreased substantially over the past 20 years. Crime today is lower than it was in the 1970s. And since the ’70s, the occurrence of rape has dropped by 85%.